Original Article By Julius Chambers At MuckrakerPolitics.com:

While I have heard talk of the ‘dollar milkshake’ theory before, it was only recently that I took the time to delve into exactly what this thesis means, in terms of its implications on real-world events. The dollar milkshake hypothesis can be attributed to Santiago Capital founder Brent Johnson, an investment manager who got his start at Credit Suisse.

Supposedly, Johnson has, for years, employed simple analogies in order to better help his clients understand the financial propositions that he is making to them. So no, ‘dollar milkshake’ does not pertain to some weird Pulp Fiction/John Travolta joke.

Though Johnson is somewhat of a ‘goldbug’ (he believes that gold will reach over $5,000 per ounce in the near future), this particular outlook does not appear to detract from his overall macroeconomic analysis. And he happens to be bullish on a number of different commodities, in addition to US equities in general.

The reason that Johnson has developed a cult following among the internet faithful, is because he has been willing to debate fellow goldbugs, such as Peter Schiff — who believes in the price potential of gold much more than he believes in the continued resiliency of the US dollar and equities markets.

I believe that Johnson will continue to rise to prominence, even more so, in the coming years, due to the sophistication of his simple theory, at its ability to explain both the ‘everything bubble’ of the past decade plus, as well as the currency ratio crash that is presently underway.

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The dollar milkshake theory states that the US dollar will emerge stronger than ever — in the years to come — due to the fact that the central banks of many foreign countries issue debt in US dollars, as well as hold debt on their balance sheets in US dollars. In times like these, when countries such as Argentina and Sri Lanka are facing default — and wealthy countries have already issued debt to other nations in dollars — there will be a collective scramble for the American dollar, in markets abroad, like we have never seen before.

As Johnsons says, times of instability and recession cause debt to ‘matter’ in a way that it tends not to matter during periods of great peace and instability. Furthermore, most overseas dollar swaps are transacted in ‘Eurodollars’ — a US-dollar denominated instrument that is pegged to the dollar, and yet is fully reliant on U.S. government ‘swap lines’ for actual dollars. (This means that the U.S. government could choose whether or not to send dollars to such foreign banks during a crisis, and these institutions are otherwise powerless).

Ultimately Johnson is implying that there are a shortage of dollars floating around the world, even though a significant portion of global debt is denominated in dollars. This amounts to a highly unique situation, in history, because the U.S. dollar is backed by nothing but the government, and yet it is seen as a relatively stable asset, nearly on par with gold or silver.

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Despite the fact that inflation is at a forty-year high in America, and the cost of living is skyrocketing, the dollar is still in a much better place than almost all of the world’s currencies. For example, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is now at a twenty-year high, having recently reached levels near 105 (and it is projected to reach 120 in the near future). Though the dollar is actually going down in value, relative to time, other currencies are going down at an even faster rate, due to the inability of foreign central banks to halt inflation or assure investors, in the way that America is capable of doing. Therefore, the British Pound — worth almost $2 in the early 2000s — is now worth no more than $1.25. And the Canadian, Australian, and European currencies are all either below parity, or equal to the dollar, when they enjoyed a greater worth not long ago.

Essentially, smaller nation states cannot compete with the American empire, in their ability to assure investors, tame inflation, or attract foreign capital. Furthermore, attractive bond yields in the U.S. are projected to further exacerbate a trend in which foreign government and corporations will be inclined to convert their currencies into dollars, and deploy their capital into U.S. bonds and equities, all while their own domestic currencies suffer severely.

For example, the Lira inflation rate in Turkey is said to be at least 70%, with the real rate likely being much higher. At the same time, the Turkish stock market has recently paid out 30%, but any profits taken from the Borsa Istanbul must be collected in Lira, which is depreciating as we speak. Therefore, Turkish investors might be more inclined to invest in the U.S., because making money is dollars would be attractive, relative to the local currency.

What the dollar milkshake theory indicates, is that large amounts of capital fleeing foreign markets, will not be good for foreign economies, especially during a volatile economic period. Furthermore, too much money flowing into the U.S. economy could even threaten the foundations of the federal reserve system and its ability to pay growing hordes of bond holders.

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In the coming years, foreign entities may attempt to suck up as many dollars as possible, and the United States may have a difficult time providing access to dollars — for the rest of the world — due to the fact that inflation will require the FED to get the money supply under control. At the same time, economic contractions around the world could make it difficult for Washington to restart the global economy, especially if the dollar remains far stronger than in foreign nations.

One claim made by Johnson — which seems outlandish to many — is that the Dollar Index (DXY) will even continue to increase, in tandem with equities. This has never happened before, and currently the opposite is happening as the markets correct and the dollar surges relative to other currencies. However, Johnson contends that, for the first time, the end of the bear period may usher in a bull market in which both the dollar and U.S. equities skyrocket together, relative to foreign markets.

Whether Johnson’s theory is completely true or not, it helps confirm one medium-term trend that I have been observing rather consistently in recent years. As the U.S. is utilized increasingly as an investment casino for the world, the cost-of-living crisis — with respect to products like food, cars, real estate, and healthcare — will continue to worsen for everyday Americans. As a result, it makes the most sense for one to be paid in U.S. dollars (or earn money in the U.S.), and simultaneously live in a cheaper location abroad, where intense speculation is not occurring. This is something I observed recently, on a visit to South America. South America was much, much cheaper than America, and dollars went much further than I expected. Eventually, high costs — driven up by speculation — may even begin to harm U.S. competitiveness.